Penn State should control the line of scrimmage and force Marshall to operate under consistent third-down pressure. Marshall's path to staying close depends on preventing the Nittany Lions from turning defensive stops into immediate points.
The spread is the preferred market because the moneyline is too heavily priced. Penn State's defensive floor and home-field control support a margin greater than three touchdowns.
THE SUNDAY LEDGER'S STRONGEST PREDICTION
Penn State -24.5
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